Xi took the nineties back this morning; the July data explains why he needed them
Forty minutes for Jiang, then a warning
Xi spoke for forty minutes. He led the centenary commemoration of Jiang Zemin — general secretary from 1989 to 2002 — before thousands of officials and delegates in the Great Hall of the People, in what SCMP reads as a show of continuity and party unity ahead of next year's leadership reshuffle. Yesterday I said the only news would be an absence. There wasn't one.
The line worth keeping is his own: "On the new journey ahead, we must heighten our sense of vigilance against potential dangers." The wire framing is blunter than Beijing's. Jiang and Zhu Rongji, premier from 1998 to 2003, whose funeral is Tuesday, together mark the end of an era of breakneck reform and wealth creation — set against a Xi era of central control and technological autonomy. Two funerals closing a decade.
The numbers landed the same morning. July retail sales rose 0.6% against a 1.3% consensus and June's 1%; industrial output 4.5% against a 4.9% forecast and June's 5.3%; the drop in investment worsened. The economy is cooling. The centenary was scheduled months ago; the data was not. A leader borrowing a predecessor who delivered growth, on a day growth missed again.
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Unitree lists Wednesday at 219 times earnings
The date is fixed. Unitree, the Hangzhou maker of the backflipping humanoids, debuts on Shanghai's STAR Market on 19 August as China's first listed humanoid-robot company — issue price 150.80 yuan (~$21), market capitalisation near 61bn yuan (~$8.6bn), price/earnings multiple of 219 against a sector average of 38.6.
Half the money goes to software, not metal. Of roughly 6.1bn yuan (~$859m) raised, 2.02bn yuan (~$285m) is earmarked for robot model R&D. And the strategic placement includes the national social security fund, China National Petroleum — and DeepSeek. A model lab buying into a robot maker's book, days after that lab started hiring switchgear engineers.
The business is real and small. Revenue ran 159m yuan, then 393m, then 1.699bn (~$239m) across 2023 to 2025, with net profit of 278m yuan (~$39m) last year; first-quarter revenue rose 68% to 423m yuan while stripped-out profit fell on R&D and selling costs. Against roughly 5,500 humanoids shipped in 2025, 219x is a bet on the model.
THE GAP: embodied-AI startups raised 93.5bn yuan (~$13bn) in the first half, five times a year earlier across 322 deals, while leading firms' shipments have only just cleared ten thousand units. Wednesday is the first time a public market gets to argue with that.
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DeepSeek starts charging peak rates today
The invoice is real now. Peak-and-trough pricing took effect at midnight Beijing time, and the multipliers are steep: for V4-Flash, off-peak cache-miss input up 50% and output up 125%; at peak, three times and four and a half times. V4-Pro's cached input at peak reaches twelve times the old rate.
The same week, the theory. DeepSeek researchers and Peking University co-authored a paper on spatiotemporal composability describing Cordis, the framework under Harness — whose claim is that everything is a removable plugin, including the model adapter, tool registry, session log and the agent loop itself.
The mechanism is an undo button. Every mutation to context must register its inverse; unloading a plugin replays those inverses in reverse order. Components declare dependencies, and the runtime activates or deactivates them as providers appear and vanish. Two different load histories converge on the same final state. That is what a self-rewriting harness needs to be survivable.
The bill and the architecture point opposite ways. The paper concedes that as components get finer-grained, the integration glue between them can grow with the square of their number. More plugins, more tool calls, more context per task — on a meter that just tripled at peak.
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Video models converge, only one opens the weights
Seedance went to 1080p today. ByteDance's video model now generates native 1080p with the API live, adds 10-bit colour depth, and cuts image-to-video pricing from 3.7 yuan to about 2.7 yuan a second (~$0.52 to $0.38) until 17 September.
MiniMax is renting distribution instead. Its H3, out 31 July, takes text, image, video and audio into one context and does generation and editing in the same model — and it is opening the weights, citing developer community, domestic-chip compatibility designed in from the start, and customisation. Jiemian's read: ByteDance has Douyin to absorb a model, so MiniMax must make chip vendors its distribution. Same account: at a late-July Seed all-hands, founder Zhang Yiming told the team not to close the gap using rivals' outputs, even at a short-term cost.
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Want Want's sugar problem, and a fill-in-the-blank
A snack company declared an emergency. Tsai Eng-Meng, founder and chairman of Want Want, told all staff that the April-June quarter amounts to a "major operating crisis", blaming thirty years of coasting on a handful of hit products, and warned that anyone without output would be eliminated. Revenue fell about 6%, profit about 38%.
Weibo made it about sugar. The crisis topped the trending list, and so did the line that Want Want's real rival turns out to be sugar; the company replied by posting its no-sugar range. Its traditional wholesale channel, more than half of revenue, fell by double digits.
The other consumer story is a grammar question. A payments promotion put a second-grade exercise in front of the country: fill in the conjunctions for "( ) save money steadily, ( ) travel the world." Three camps formed — only by saving can you travel; save and travel at once; better to travel than save. The answer key accepted all of them.
It is not a generational split. 36Kr's read of the comments: mid-nineties-born office workers with some savings filled in "only if"; women born in the 1980s who already did the grinding filled in "at the same time"; and the same person answers differently on payday and at month-end. A consumption survey disguised as homework.
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Waymo pays 127% and still saves money
Solidot led with the arithmetic. Tariffs of 127.5% roughly double a Chinese EV's price on arrival — and Waymo has imported 3,200 Zeekr robotaxis since 2024 anyway, because it is still cheaper: about $38,000 a chassis, roughly $86,500 landed, plus $25,000 of hardware and software, against over $200,000 for a converted Jaguar I-Pace.
What the Chinese item omits is what US coverage leads with: ordinary Americans cannot buy the car, and the vans arrive stripped of sensors and compute because Chinese vehicles may not collect data on American roads, with Waymo's stack fitted in Mesa, Arizona. Even the tariff rate is contested — one account puts it at 102.5%.
The tariff worked as consumer protection and failed as industrial policy. The cheapest way for America's leading robotaxi operator to scale is a Geely platform built to its specification in Ningbo. The Chinese write-up never says that; the cost table does.
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Threads we are pulling
- I was a day early on DeepSeek. Yesterday I wrote that peak pricing had gone live; it actually took effect at 00:00 today. The multipliers above are the part that was missing.
- Unitree's grey market gets settled Wednesday. Brokers were bidding 520 yuan (~$73) against the 150.80 yuan issue price. Two days to find out whether 3.4x survives contact with a bell.
- The memory shortage reaches Lagos. Omdia: African sub-$100 smartphone shipments fell 34% year-on-year in the second quarter, with memory now near 60% of the bill of materials under $400 and above 64% under $99. I under-weighted DRAM on 14 August; it is now pricing out first-time buyers.
- Geely's founder steps back. Li Shufu resigns as chairman of the listed arm from tomorrow, becoming lifetime honorary chairman, with group chief executive An Conghui taking the chair — and the export target raised from 640,000 to 920,000 vehicles.
- Moonshot's shockwave gets a number. An SCMP opinion piece puts it at about $3 trillion of global chip market value shed in the weeks after Kimi K3 and Qwen3.8-Max — before the benchmark tables, model cards and licences were fully public.
- Alibaba is selling games to pay for AI. Its Lingxi Interactive studio goes to CITIC Capital's Trustar at over $1.5bn, as free cash flow swung from a 73.9bn yuan inflow to a 46.6bn yuan (~$6.6bn) outflow.
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